Image 2.0: Integrated Modeling of Global Climate Change by J. Alcamo

By J. Alcamo

Only a couple of laboratories on the earth have taken the daring step to try the combination of sub-models of the weather method, the worldwide biogeochemical cycles and the human/societal parts.
This quantity experiences the sort of significant project and it's a big step in the direction of an built-in method of international switch technological know-how. the picture 2 version is critical in demonstrating our present skill to version the advanced international process.

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Sample text

ALCAMO ET AL. 0 Category of Inputs Variables Socio-economic Population (total and urban) GNP Energy-related Value added of industrial output Value added of commercial services Private consumption Number of passenger vehicles Fuel mix Fuel prices Efficiency of primary energy conversion Autonomous efficiency improvements Emission factors Agriculture-related Food trade, export/import N fertilizer use Technology-related crop yield increase Animal production coefficient Ratio of concentrate:roughage for livestock Fraction of animal feed provided by a particular crop Related to AtmosphereOcean Ocean circulation pattern TABLE 3 Regional Population Assumptions for Conventional Wisdom Scenario.

This leads to a stabilization of the amount of feed required for these animals, which together with a decrease in human consumption of cereals and other crops, leads to a leveling off or decline of total crop demands (Figure 6b). Less area is needed in Europe to grow crops as the total demand for crops levels off and crop yields increase per hectare because of more favorable future climate, increased fertilizer use, and technological crop improvements (Figures 7, and compare Figures 8a and b). As a consequence, some agricultural land reverts to its climate-potential land cover.

MODELING THE GLOBAL SOCIETY -BIOSPHERE-CLIMATE SYSTEM: PART 2: COMPUTED SCENARIOS J. J. VAN DEN BORN, O. KLEPPER, J. KRABEC, R. F. J. DE HAAN, K. J. C. M. J. O. Box 1,3720 BA, Bilthoven, the Netherlands Abstract. 0, an integrated model of the global environment and climate change. Results are presented for selected aspects of the society-biosphere-climate system including primary energy consumption, emissions of various greenhouse gases, atmospheric concentrations of gases, temperature, precipitation, land cover and other indicators.

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