Is That a Fact? - Second Edition: A Field Guide to

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Stat Trek's free, on-line Statistics and Probability tutorial can help. > Begin lesson 1 This tutorial covers statistics, probability, and survey sampling. Let A denote the event of having the disease and, B the event of having been tested positive (for the purpose of applying Bayes' theorem), Then P(B/A) which is the probability of having been tested positive when having the disease, can be taken as equal to 1; And P(A) is the probability of having the disease, which with a prevalence of 1 in 1000 must be equal to 1/1000< And P(B) is the probability of being tested positive, which can be arrived at by 3 steps: Step 1 is to observe that since the prevalence of the disease is 1 in 1000, 999 persons out of every 1000 are healthy.

Pages: 304

Publisher: Broadview Press; 2 edition (March 4, 2016)

ISBN: 1554812445

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